| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Moreirense |
| 46.87% | 26.6% | 26.53% |
| Both teams to score 48.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.17% | 55.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.05% | 76.95% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% | 23.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.01% | 57.99% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% | 36.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.76% | 73.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 8.94% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.86% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 8.76% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.53% |