Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.