Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 7, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Portimonense
2 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Carlinhos (25'), Junior (30')
Moufi (38'), Da Costa (64')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Tabata (12'), Sarabia (71', 76')
Esgaio (67'), Coates (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

Last Six:

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
16.72%	21.23%	62.04%

Both teams to score 51.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.81%

45.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47%

67.53%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.7%

40.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.07%

76.92%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.99%

14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.46%

41.53%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 16.72%

Sporting Lisbon 62.03%

Draw 21.23%

Portimonense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.13% 2-1 @ 4.58% 2-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.72%	1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 1% Total : 21.23%	0-1 @ 11.09% 0-2 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 6.49% 0-4 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.95% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.75% Total : 62.03%