Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Hernando (71')
Boselli (13'), Augusto (52'), Pedro (68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Inacio (29'), Sarabia (33', 69' pen.)
Reis (50'), Adan (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29
17	Tondela	34	-26	28
18	Belenenses	34	-32	26

Sporting Lisbon

Last Six:

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Tondela win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
18.11%	20.77%	61.11%

Both teams to score 55.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.25%

40.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.87%

63.13%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.98%

36.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2%

72.79%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12%

12.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.74%

39.26%

Score Analysis

Tondela 18.11%

Sporting Lisbon 61.11%

Draw 20.77%

Tondela	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 4.96% 1-0 @ 4.73% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.59% Total : 18.11%	1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 5.08% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.77%	1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 6.8% 0-3 @ 6.66% 1-4 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 3.47% 0-4 @ 3.41% 2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.43% 0-5 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.48% Total : 61.11%