Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Tondela win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.11% | 20.77% | 61.11% |
Both teams to score 55.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.25% | 40.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.87% | 63.13% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.98% | 36.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.2% | 72.79% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% | 12.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.74% | 39.26% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 4.96% 1-0 @ 4.73% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.59% Total : 18.11% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 5.08% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 6.8% 0-3 @ 6.66% 1-4 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 3.47% 0-4 @ 3.41% 2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.43% 0-5 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.48% Total : 61.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
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