| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Benfica had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Benfica win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
| 55.26% | 22.42% | 22.32% |
| Both teams to score 57.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.73% | 42.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% | 64.67% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% | 15.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.18% | 43.82% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% | 32.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.79% Total : 55.26% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.32% |