Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Benfica had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Benfica win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.