Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 20, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
2 - 1
Estoril

Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Estoril Praia
73.52%	16.92%	9.56%

Both teams to score 44.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.07%

42.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.67%

65.33%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.83%

10.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.58%

33.42%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.72%

50.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.15%

84.85%

Score Analysis

Benfica 73.49%

Estoril Praia 9.56%

Draw 16.92%

Benfica	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 13.35% 1-0 @ 11.68% 3-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 5.82% 4-1 @ 4% 5-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.41% 5-1 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.38% 6-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.01% Total : 73.49%	1-1 @ 8.04% 0-0 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.92%	0-1 @ 3.52% 1-2 @ 2.76% 0-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.08% Total : 9.56%