| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 47.33% | 25.76% | 26.91% |
| Both teams to score 51.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.65% | 52.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.96% | 74.03% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% | 22.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% | 55.48% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% | 34.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% | 70.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.33% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.91% |