| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
| 18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Belenenses |
| 52.35% | 25.74% | 21.92% |
| Both teams to score 46.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% | 77.25% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% | 21.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% | 54.59% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.09% | 40.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.52% | 77.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.33% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.92% |