Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 25, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Belenenses0 - 2Pacos de Ferreira
We said: Belenenses 0-2 Pacos de Ferreira
Buoyed by their victory over the Gilistas, Pacos de Ferreira will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence and fancy their chances against a struggling Belenenses side. They have been utterly dominant in the history of this fixture, claiming 11 wins and eight draws from their last 20 encounters. We predict Pacos de Ferreira will extend their dominance and pick up their second consecutive league win of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Pacos de Ferreira.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 25.78% | 28.44% | 45.78% |
| Both teams to score 42.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
