Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
53.39% ( -0.77) | 24.23% ( 0.43) | 22.38% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% ( -1.41) | 50.01% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( -1.27) | 71.99% ( 1.27) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% ( -0.82) | 18.67% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50% ( -1.4) | 50% ( 1.4) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( -0.47) | 36.97% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.24% ( -0.46) | 73.75% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.39% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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