| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 53.39% ( | 24.23% ( | 22.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( | 50.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( | 71.99% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( | 18.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( | 50% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( | 36.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( | 73.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.39% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.38% |