Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 4, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
3 - 0
Santa Clara

Vieira (38', 41'), Sanusi (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.81%) and 1-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Santa Clara
80.42%	13.19%	6.39%

Both teams to score 42.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.16%

36.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.98%

59.02%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.86%

7.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.02%

25.99%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.02%

53.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.74%

87.26%

Score Analysis

Porto 80.4%

Santa Clara 6.39%

Draw 13.19%

Porto	Draw	Santa Clara
2-0 @ 13.42% 3-0 @ 11.81% 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 8.28% 4-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 7.29% 4-1 @ 4.81% 5-0 @ 4.12% 5-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.25% 6-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.48% 6-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.51% Total : 80.4%	1-1 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 3.85% 2-2 @ 2.55% Other @ 0.51% Total : 13.19%	0-1 @ 2.38% 1-2 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.08% Total : 6.39%