Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 19, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Estupinan (23')
Fernandes (26'), Mumin (27'), Silva (39'), Varela (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sarabia (45+1' pen.), Paulinho (70'), Edwards (90+8')
Santos (51'), Esgaio (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

Last Six:

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
25.43%	22.62%	51.95%

Both teams to score 60.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.07%

39.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.71%

62.29%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.16%

28.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3%

64.7%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.51%

15.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.63%

44.37%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 25.43%

Sporting Lisbon 51.95%

Draw 22.62%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 6.44% 1-0 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 3.45% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.39% Total : 25.43%	1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 9.66% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.77% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 3.73% 1-4 @ 2.8% 0-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 1.74% 1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.78% Total : 51.95%