Champions League

Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
1 - 3
Liverpool

(Liverpool win 6-4 on aggregate)

Nunez (49')
Taarabt (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Konate (17'), Mane (34'), Diaz (87')
Alcantara (58')

Reaction

Liverpool celebrate Sadio Mane's goal against Benfica in the Champions League on April 5, 2022

Liverpool set new club defensive record in Benfica victory

Liverpool set a new club record of 19 games without conceding a goal in the first half in their 3-1 Champions League quarter-final first-leg win over Benfica.

Apr 5, 21:03

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62

Liverpool

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Liverpool
31.49%	24.55%	43.96%

Both teams to score 57.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18%

44.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83%

67.17%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9%

27.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.51%

62.49%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51%

20.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.02%

52.98%

Score Analysis

Benfica 31.49%

Liverpool 43.96%

Draw 24.55%

Benfica	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 7.5% 1-0 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.49%	1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 9.11% 0-1 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 4.81% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.96%