Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.