Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Arsenal win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.