Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 26

Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
Brentford

Smith Rowe (48'), Saka (79')
Magalhaes (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Norgaard (90+3')
Jansson (81')

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Feb 20, 13:24

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 10.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Brentford
72.08%	17.67%	10.25%

Both teams to score 44.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.73%

44.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35%

66.65%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.1%

10.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.94%

35.06%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.23%

49.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.51%

84.5%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 72.07%

Brentford 10.25%

Draw 17.67%

Arsenal	Draw	Brentford
2-0 @ 13.32% 1-0 @ 12.02% 3-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 6.87% 4-0 @ 5.46% 4-1 @ 3.81% 5-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.62% Total : 72.07%	1-1 @ 8.39% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 3.24% Other @ 0.62% Total : 17.67%	0-1 @ 3.79% 1-2 @ 2.93% 0-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.22% Total : 10.25%