Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 24

Feb 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 0
Brentford

Mahrez (40' pen.), De Bruyne (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 85.57%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 4.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.59%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Brentford
85.57%	9.79%	4.65%

Both teams to score 45.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.09%

26.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.61%

47.4%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.72%

4.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.2%

17.81%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.84%

52.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.89%

86.11%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 85.56%

Brentford 4.65%

Draw 9.79%

Manchester City	Draw	Brentford
3-0 @ 11.66% 2-0 @ 11.1% 4-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 7.59% 2-1 @ 7.23% 1-0 @ 7.05% 4-1 @ 5.98% 5-0 @ 5.79% 5-1 @ 3.77% 6-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.47% 6-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.95% 7-0 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 4.19% Total : 85.56%	1-1 @ 4.59% 2-2 @ 2.35% 0-0 @ 2.24% Other @ 0.61% Total : 9.79%	1-2 @ 1.49% 0-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.7% Total : 4.65%