Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Jan 22, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 1
Man City

Walker-Peters (7')
Bednarek (33'), Armstrong (79'), Elyounoussi (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Laporte (65')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 12.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Manchester City
12.19%	18.79%	69.03%

Both teams to score 47.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.02%

43.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64%

66.36%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.94%

46.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.23%

81.77%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.37%

11.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.35%

36.65%

Score Analysis

Southampton 12.19%

Manchester City 69.02%

Draw 18.79%

Southampton	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 4.15% 2-1 @ 3.46% 2-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 12.19%	1-1 @ 8.94% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.77% Total : 18.79%	0-2 @ 12.4% 0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-3 @ 8.89% 1-3 @ 6.9% 0-4 @ 4.79% 1-4 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-5 @ 2.06% 1-5 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.44% Total : 69.02%