Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
6 - 3
Leicester

De Bruyne (5'), Mahrez (14' pen.), Gundogan (21'), Sterling (25' pen., 87'), Laporte (69')
Fernandinho (90+1')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Maddison (55'), Lookman (59'), Iheanacho (65')
Vestergaard (45'), Maddison (75')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Leicester City
71.78%	15.65%	12.57%

Both teams to score 61.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.54%

27.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.93%

48.07%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.26%

6.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.08%

24.93%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65%

34.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94%

71.06%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 71.78%

Leicester City 12.57%

Draw 15.65%

Manchester City	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 8.09% 3-0 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 6.25% 4-1 @ 5.46% 4-0 @ 5.11% 3-2 @ 4.32% 5-1 @ 2.95% 4-2 @ 2.92% 5-0 @ 2.76% 5-2 @ 1.57% 6-1 @ 1.32% 6-0 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.75% Total : 71.78%	1-1 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 4.81% 0-0 @ 2.32% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.65%	1-2 @ 3.57% 0-1 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-2 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.23% Total : 12.57%