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Premier League

Manchester City logo
Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Chelsea logo

Man City
1 - 0
Chelsea

De Bruyne (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alonso (7'), Kovacic (32')

The Match

Team News

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola names a strong starting lineup for their Premier League showdown with title rivals Chelsea at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday lunchtime.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Manchester City on Saturday.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
56.01%22.38%21.61%
Both teams to score 56.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02%42.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62%65.38%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.81%15.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.18%43.81%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25%33.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.59%70.41%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 56.01%
    Chelsea 21.61%
    Draw 22.38%
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 6.21%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-0 @ 2.69%
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 56.01%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-1 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.02%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 21.61%

How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea

Manchester City
61.3%
Draw
13.1%
Chelsea
25.6%
473
Build-up
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on September 18, 2021
Pep Guardiola labels Thomas Tuchel an "excellent" coach ahead of Chelsea clash
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola heaps praise on Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel ahead of Saturday lunchtime's Premier League showdown.
Jan 14, 16:56
 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on December 19, 2021
Pep Guardiola confirms Manchester City squad hit by more COVID-19 cases
Pep Guardiola confirms that Manchester City have "some new cases" of COVID-19 ahead of their Premier League clash with title rivals Chelsea on Saturday lunchtime.
Jan 14, 16:15
 Chelsea's Andreas Christensen in action, October 20, 2021
Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen tests positive for coronavirus
Defender Andreas Christensen becomes the latest Chelsea player to test positive for coronavirus, ruling him out on Saturday's game at Manchester City.
Jan 14, 12:58
 Manchester City's Bernardo Silva in action with Chelsea's Mateo Kovacic on September 25, 2021
Manchester City, Chelsea fixture to end seven-year streak
Saturday's Premier League fixture between Manchester City and Chelsea will end a sequence which started exactly seven years ago.
Jan 14, 12:42
 Chelsea's Romelu Lukaku on January 5, 2022
Chelsea forward Romelu Lukaku's record vs. Manchester City
Ahead of Chelsea's game with Manchester City on Saturday, Sports Mole takes a look at the Belgian's record versus the Premier League leaders.
Jan 14, 12:30
 Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel looks on on September 11, 2021
Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel: 'Lessons learned from last Manchester City defeat'
Head coach Thomas Tuchel acknowledges that he used the wrong tactics when Chelsea faced Manchester City at Stamford Bridge earlier in the season.
Jan 14, 11:24
 Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel during the game with Watford on December 1, 2021.
Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel: 'Coronavirus, injuries difference in PL title race'
Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel feels that Manchester City's fewer injuries and coronavirus cases have made the difference in the Premier League title race.
Jan 14, 11:05
 Manchester City's Bernardo Silva celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 7, 2022
Combined XI: Manchester City vs. Chelsea
Ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Chelsea, Sports Mole picks a combined XI from both squads.
Jan 13, 11:13
 N'Golo Kante warms up for Chelsea in December 2021
How Chelsea could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.
Jan 13, 09:42
 Phil Foden in action for Manchester City in December 2021
How Manchester City could line up against Chelsea
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Chelsea.
Jan 13, 09:36
 Chelsea defender Ben Chilwell goes off with a knee injury on November 23, 2021
Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Manchester City
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Manchester City on Saturday.
Jan 13, 07:29
 Manchester City's Bernardo Silva in action with Chelsea's Mateo Kovacic on September 25, 2021
Manchester City's clash with Chelsea 'to go ahead despite COVID-19 outbreak'
Manchester City's Premier League showdown with Chelsea on Saturday is reportedly set to go ahead as planned, despite a coronavirus outbreak among Pep Guardiola's squad.
Jan 11, 13:40
 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on December 19, 2021
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Chelsea
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League fixture with Chelsea.
Jan 8, 10:30