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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Brentford logo

Southampton
4 - 1
Brentford

Bednarek (5'), Fernandez (37' og.), Broja (49'), Adams (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Janelt (23')
Toney (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBrentford
35.89%27.9%36.2%
Both teams to score 48.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11%57.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.4%78.6%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25%30.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99%67.01%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44%30.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21%66.79%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 35.89%
    Brentford 36.2%
    Draw 27.9%
SouthamptonDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.14%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 6.6%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.2%

How you voted: Southampton vs Brentford

Southampton
55.9%
Draw
25.9%
Brentford
18.2%
297