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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Brentford logo

Southampton
4 - 1
Brentford

Bednarek (5'), Fernandez (37' og.), Broja (49'), Adams (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Janelt (23')
Toney (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Southampton 1-1 Brentford

If this fixture is to go ahead at St Mary's, both sides will seemingly have depleted squads which could result in a closely-fought contest. Southampton will be desperate to return to winning ways but we can see the Bees battling towards a hard-earned point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBrentford
35.89%27.9%36.2%
Both teams to score 48.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11%57.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.4%78.6%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25%30.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99%67.01%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44%30.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21%66.79%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 35.89%
    Brentford 36.2%
    Draw 27.9%
SouthamptonDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.14%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 6.6%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.2%

How you voted: Southampton vs Brentford

Southampton
55.9%
Draw
25.9%
Brentford
18.2%
297
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Southampton
0-2
Brentford

McCarthy (8')
Norgaard (40'), Dasilva (45+1')
Thompson (12'), Dalsgaard (52'), Goode (58')
Jul 22, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Brentford
2-2
Southampton
Vibe (40'), Clarke (82')
Austin (53', 61')
Apr 30, 2011 3pm
Dec 11, 2010 3pm
Jan 26, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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