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Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 at 8pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Brentford logo

Brighton
2 - 0
Brentford

Trossard (34'), Maupay (42')
Webster (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bech Sorensen (38'), Norgaard (45'), Toney (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Brentford

Having established a considerable gap between themselves and the bottom three, there is a certain degree of freedom for both teams to push for all three points. Nevertheless, we can only see a low-scoring share of the spoils, a result which would take both teams one small step closer to survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
42.58%27.68%29.73%
Both teams to score 47.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.79%58.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15%78.85%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96%27.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6%62.39%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82%35.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07%71.93%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 42.58%
    Brentford 29.73%
    Draw 27.67%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 12.44%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 29.73%

How you voted: Brighton vs Brentford

Brighton & Hove Albion
47.0%
Draw
31.0%
Brentford
22.0%
200
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Brentford
0-1
Brighton

Canos (6'), Mbeumo (17'), Ajer (74')
Trossard (90')
Veltman (55'), Duffy (57')
Feb 5, 2017 3pm
Brentford
3-3
Brighton
Jota (15'), Dean (22'), Kerschbaumer (94')
McEachran (64'), Kerschbaumer (91')
March (75'), Duffy (78'), Hemed (97')
Sidwell (64'), Saltor (95')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Brighton
0-2
Brentford

Knockaert (32'), Hemed (45'), Bong (60'), Manu (63'), Stephens (75')
Hogan (29', 70')
Woods (26'), Egan (43')
Feb 5, 2016 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2015 1pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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