Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 12

Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Brighton

Watkins (84'), Mings (89')
Nakamba (59'), Konsa (90+3'), Cash (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cucurella (49'), Webster (67'), Mac Allister (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
33.86%	26.68%	39.46%

Both teams to score 51.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.71%

53.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15%

74.84%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24%

29.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17%

65.82%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.56%

26.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.39%

61.6%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 33.86%

Brighton & Hove Albion 39.45%

Draw 26.68%

Aston Villa	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.86%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.45%