EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals

Dec 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
0 - 2
Chelsea

Janelt (12'), Canos (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jansson (80' og.), Jorginho (85' pen.)
Vale (45'), Niguez (77')

Reaction

Kepa Arrizabalaga in action for Chelsea on July 22, 2020

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel "super happy" with Kepa Arrizabalaga display

Head coach Thomas Tuchel says that he was "super happy" with Kepa Arrizabalaga's performance during the 2-0 win over Brentford in the EFL Cup quarter-finals.

Dec 22, 22:38

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Chelsea
25.43%	25.32%	49.24%

Both teams to score 51.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.34%

51.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.56%

73.44%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.88%

35.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.13%

71.87%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01%

20.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.24%

53.76%

Score Analysis

Brentford 25.43%

Chelsea 49.24%

Draw 25.32%

Brentford	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 7.72% 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.04% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.06% Total : 25.43%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 8.98% 1-3 @ 4.89% 0-3 @ 4.67% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.5% Total : 49.24%