Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK
London Stadium
West Ham2 - 3Southampton
FT(HT: 0-1)
Elyounoussi (8'), Ward-Prowse (61' pen.), Bednarek (70')
Broja (66'), Bednarek (85'), Walker-Peters (90+6')
Broja (66'), Bednarek (85'), Walker-Peters (90+6')
We said: West Ham United 2-1 Southampton
Despite the difference in league positions, everything points to this being a close game. Southampton will fancy their chances of causing West Ham problems in the final third, but we are backing the Hammers to battle their way to a hard-fought win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Southampton |
| 46.95% | 24.39% | 28.66% |
| Both teams to score 56.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
