Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 33.66% | 27.41% | 38.93% |
| Both teams to score 49.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% | 56.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% | 77.25% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% | 31.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% | 63.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.92% |