Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
33.66% | 27.41% | 38.93% |
Both teams to score 49.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.8% | 56.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.75% | 77.25% |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.66% | 31.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.3% | 67.7% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% | 28.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% | 63.76% |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 32 | 43 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 16 |
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