Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 36.43% | 27.26% | 36.3% |
| Both teams to score 50.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.58% | 55.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.39% | 76.61% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% | 29.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% | 65.13% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% | 29.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% | 65.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.3% |