Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 36.12% | 27.55% | 36.34% |
| Both teams to score 49.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.48% | 56.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.49% | 77.51% |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% | 29.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% | 66.03% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% | 29.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% | 65.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.11% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.33% |