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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Aston Villa logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes a look at the potential starting lineup for Crystal Palace this weekend as they host Aston Villa in the Premier League.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
36.12%27.55%36.34%
Both teams to score 49.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.48%56.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.49%77.51%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07%29.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97%66.03%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21%29.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13%65.87%
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 36.11%
    Aston Villa 36.33%
    Draw 27.54%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 10.79%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.33%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Crystal Palace
54.1%
Draw
22.1%
Aston Villa
23.8%
244