Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 12

Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
3 - 3
Crystal Palace

Mee (19'), Wood (27'), Cornet (49')
Tarkowski (22'), Westwood (70')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Benteke (8', 36'), Guehi (42')
Zaha (22'), Benteke (59'), Olise (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 43.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Crystal Palace
43.25%	28.61%	28.14%

Both teams to score 43.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.01%

61.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.27%

81.73%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53%

28.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76%

64.24%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49%

38.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74%

75.26%

Score Analysis

Burnley 43.25%

Crystal Palace 28.13%

Draw 28.61%

Burnley	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 13.77% 2-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 8.26% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.61% Total : 43.25%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.13%

How you voted: Burnley vs Crystal Palace

Burnley

26.8%

Draw

27.3%

Crystal Palace

46.0%