Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 42.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 28.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Brentford |
| 28.26% | 28.85% | 42.89% |
| Both teams to score 43.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.31% | 62.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.76% | 82.24% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.2% | 38.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.47% | 75.53% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% | 29.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% | 64.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 6.24% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.54% Total : 28.26% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 13.92% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-3 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.88% |