Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley

Havertz (33')
James (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vydra (79')
Westwood (68'), Cornet (76'), Tarkowski (84'), Brownhill (90')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel reacts on October 16, 2021

Thomas Tuchel: 'Burnley's draw with Chelsea down to pure luck'

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel says that Burnley only managed to secure a 1-1 draw with his Blues side through "pure luck".

Nov 6, 18:07

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.06%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Burnley
77.97%	14.42%	7.61%

Both teams to score 44.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.13%

37.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.87%

60.13%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.11%

7.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.07%

27.93%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.65%

51.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.43%

85.58%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 77.96%

Burnley 7.61%

Draw 14.42%

Chelsea	Draw	Burnley
2-0 @ 13.06% 3-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 7.37% 4-0 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.68% 5-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-0 @ 1.51% 6-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.27% Total : 77.96%	1-1 @ 6.86% 0-0 @ 4.05% 2-2 @ 2.9% Other @ 0.61% Total : 14.42%	0-1 @ 2.7% 1-2 @ 2.29% Other @ 2.62% Total : 7.61%