Premier League Gameweek 16
Liverpool
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Virgil van Dijk 13' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 67' goal
  • yellowcard Marvelous Nakamba 19'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 24'

Liverpool vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
Wolves 0 - 1 Liverpool
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Leicester
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 72.4%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 10.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Liverpool 72.4%
Draw 17%
Aston Villa 10.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.42%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.88%
Under 2.5 40.12%
Over 3.5 37.51%
Under 3.5 62.49%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 90.28%
Under 0.5 9.71%
Over 1.5 67.63%
Under 1.5 32.36%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 53.63%
Under 0.5 46.37%
Over 1.5 17.99%
Under 1.5 82.01%

Score analysis

Liverpool 72.39%
Draw 17%
Aston Villa 10.6%
Liverpool
2-0 @ 12.24%
1-0 @ 10.5%
3-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 9.41%
3-1 @ 7.31%
4-0 @ 5.55%
4-1 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 2.81%
5-0 @ 2.59%
5-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.64%
6-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 72.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.07%
0-0 @ 4.51%
2-2 @ 3.62%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 17%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 3.46%
1-2 @ 3.1%
0-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 10.6%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 31
Liverpool
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • Mohamed Salah 57' goal
  • James Milner 65' yellowcard
  • Andrew Robertson 74' yellowcard
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 25'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 43'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 49'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 73'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 85'
FA Cup
Aston Villa
Jan 8, 2021 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
Liverpool
  • Louie Barry 41' goal
  • goal Sadio Mane 4'
  • yellowcard Curtis Jones 44'
  • goal Georginio Wijnaldum 60'
  • goal Sadio Mane 63'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 65'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
Oct 4, 2020 7.15pm
7
2
HT : 4 1
FT Villa Park
Liverpool
  • Ollie Watkins 4' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 22' goal
  • John McGinn 35' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 39' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 46' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 55' goal
  • Jack Grealish 66' goal
  • Jack Grealish 75' goal
  • Marvelous Nakamba 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Salah 33'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 38'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 60'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Liverpool
Jul 5, 2020 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
Aston Villa
  • Andrew Robertson 20' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 71' goal
  • Curtis Jones 89' goal
  • yellowcard John McGinn 36'
EFL Cup
Aston Villa
Dec 17, 2019 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT
Liverpool
  • Conor Hourihane 14' goal
  • Morgan Boyes 17' goal
  • Jonathan Kodjia 37' goal
  • Jonathan Kodjia 45' goal
  • Wesley 92' goal
  • yellowcard Isaac Christie-Davies 41'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
Nov 2, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Liverpool
  • Trezeguet 21' goal
  • Anwar El Ghazi 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 37'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 58'
  • goal Andrew Robertson 87'
  • goal Sadio Mane 94'

Form Data

AC Milan 1 - 2 Liverpool
Wolves 0 - 1 Liverpool
Everton 1 - 4 Liverpool
Liverpool 4 - 0 Southampton
Liverpool 2 - 0 Porto
Liverpool 4 - 0 Arsenal
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Leicester
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Man City
Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 0 Brighton
Southampton 1 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 4 West Ham

Build-up

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