Liverpool

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Aston Villa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 72.4%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 10.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.