Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.