Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
3 - 0
Crystal Palace

Kane (32'), Moura (34'), Heung-min (74')
Sanchez (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Zaha (26'), Tomkins (45+1')
Zaha (37')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Crystal Palace
58.11%	22.79%	19.1%

Both teams to score 50.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.93%

48.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.77%

70.23%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.75%

16.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.23%

45.78%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.78%

39.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.07%

75.93%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 58.11%

Crystal Palace 19.1%

Draw 22.78%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.05% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.12% Total : 58.11%	1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.78%	0-1 @ 5.97% 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 2.79% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.25% Total : 19.1%