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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Elland Road
Crystal Palace logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Raphinha (90+3' pen.)
Struijk (42'), Firpo (47'), Dallas (72'), Roberts (87'), Forshaw (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ward (37'), Gallagher (39'), Guehi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leeds United 1-2 Crystal Palace

 This is an extremely difficult game to call, as Bielsa's Leeds have been resilient at home in recent weeks, while Palace need no lessons in scoring goals away from home. However, with Vieira able to call upon some added attacking quality from the bench, we have faith in the Eagles to return to winning ways on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
51.13%25.21%23.67%
Both teams to score 49.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36%52.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71%74.28%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4%20.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86%53.14%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78%37.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99%74%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 51.12%
    Crystal Palace 23.67%
    Draw 25.2%
Leeds UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.58%
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 23.67%

How you voted: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

Leeds United
31.5%
Draw
20.3%
Crystal Palace
48.2%
340
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 23
Leeds
2-0
Crystal Palace
Harrison (3'), Bamford (52')

Cahill (37'), Milivojevic (76')
> Match Report
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Crystal Palace
4-1
Leeds
Dann (12'), Eze (22'), Costa (42' og.), Ayew (70')
Bamford (27')
Cooper (49'), Klich (77')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2013 3pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Leeds
Murray (27', 84')
Morison (56', 69')
Varney (55'), Warnock (58'), Bryam (85'), Tonge (89')
> Match Report
Nov 24, 2012 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Crystal Palace
> Match Report
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Leeds
Martin (6')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
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20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916
> Premier League Full Table


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