EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals

Dec 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
2 - 1
West Ham

Bergwijn (29'), Moura (34')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bowen (32')
Bowen (37')

Reaction

West Ham United's Michail Antonio in action on July 7, 2021

West Ham United's Michail Antonio tests positive for COVID-19

West Ham United striker Michail Antonio is ruled out of Wednesday's EFL Cup quarter-final tie with Tottenham Hotspur after testing positive for coronavirus.

Dec 22, 20:42

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	West Ham United
45.6%	24.08%	30.32%

Both teams to score 59.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.83%

43.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.43%

65.56%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.88%

19.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.26%

50.74%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.95%

27.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.59%

62.41%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 45.6%

West Ham United 30.32%

Draw 24.07%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	West Ham United
2-1 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.26% Total : 45.6%	1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 7.31% 0-1 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.32%