Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 13

Nov 28, 2021 at 2pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 1
West Ham

Gundogan (33'), Fernandinho (90')
Laporte (29'), Cancelo (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lanzini (90+4')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 16.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	West Ham United
63%	20.09%	16.91%

Both teams to score 55.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.33%

39.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.98%

62.02%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.98%

12.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.53%

37.46%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.26%

36.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.47%

73.52%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 63%

West Ham United 16.91%

Draw 20.09%

Manchester City	Draw	West Ham United
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.35% 3-1 @ 7.01% 3-0 @ 7% 4-1 @ 3.72% 4-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.86% Total : 63%	1-1 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.97% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.09%	1-2 @ 4.69% 0-1 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.37% Total : 16.91%