FA Cup
Jan 7, 2022 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT The County Ground
  • Harry McKirdy 78' goal
  • goal Bernardo Silva 14'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 28'
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 59'
  • yellowcard Rodri 64'
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 80'
  • goal Cole Palmer 82'
  • yellowcard James Mcatee 90'+2'

Swindon Town vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 9.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 2-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 9.38%
Draw 15.23%
Manchester City 75.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25%

Goals

Over 2.5 64.7%
Under 2.5 35.3%
Over 3.5 42.67%
Under 3.5 57.33%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 54.53%
Under 0.5 45.47%
Over 1.5 18.69%
Under 1.5 81.31%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 92.15%
Under 0.5 7.85%
Over 1.5 72.17%
Under 1.5 27.84%

Score analysis

Swindon Town 9.38%
Draw 15.23%
Manchester City 75.39%
Swindon Town
2-1 @ 2.82%
1-0 @ 2.81%
2-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 9.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 3.59%
0-0 @ 3.57%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 15.23%
Manchester City
0-2 @ 11.56%
0-3 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-1 @ 9.09%
1-3 @ 7.73%
0-4 @ 6.24%
1-4 @ 4.92%
0-5 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 3.05%
1-5 @ 2.5%
2-4 @ 1.94%
0-6 @ 1.35%
1-6 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 75.39%

Head to Head

Premier League
Feb 26, 1994 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kevin Horlock 25' goal
  • Michel Vonk 46' yellowcard
  • David Rocastle 50' goal
  • goal Jan-Aage Fjortoft 7'
Premier League
Sep 1, 1993 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fraser Digby 28' yellowcard
  • Nicky Summerbee 60' goal
  • yellowcard Steve McMahon 25'
  • goal Michel Vonk 74'
  • goal Niall Quinn 79'

Build-up

News