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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 45.4% | 26.13% | 28.47% |
| Both teams to score 51.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.08% | 52.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% | 74.52% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% | 23.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.84% | 57.16% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% | 33.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% | 69.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.47% |