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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 39.11% | 28.5% | 32.39% |
| Both teams to score 45.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% | 60.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% | 80.51% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% | 30.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% | 66.14% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% | 34.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.93% | 71.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.96% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.48% Total : 39.11% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.38% |