League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Nov 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
3 - 1
Hartlepool

Williams (52'), Simpson (69'), Payne (90+4')
McKirdy (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Daly (61')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Hartlepool United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
46.12%	26.29%	27.59%

Both teams to score 50.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99%

54.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55%

75.45%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.62%

23.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.64%

57.35%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.38%

34.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.66%

71.33%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 46.11%

Hartlepool United 27.59%

Draw 26.28%

Swindon Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.11%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.59%