Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 27.67% | 23.83% | 48.51% |
| Both teams to score 58.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% | 43.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% | 66.02% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% | 29.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% | 65.03% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% | 18.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.93% | 49.08% |
| Score Analysis |
Swindon Town 27.67%
Newport County 48.51%
Draw 23.83%
| Swindon Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-1 @ 6.86% 1-0 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.4% Total : 27.67% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-1 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 5.41% 0-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.58% Total : 48.51% |
How you voted: Swindon vs Newport
Swindon Town
70.0%Draw
17.5%Newport County
12.5%40


