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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 36.5% | 27.23% | 36.27% |
| Both teams to score 50.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.7% | 55.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% | 76.51% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% | 29.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% | 65.01% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% | 29.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% | 65.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.5% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.5% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.26% |