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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 42.81% | 25.33% | 31.86% |
| Both teams to score 55.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.87% | 48.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.71% | 70.29% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% | 22.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.07% | 55.93% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% | 28.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% | 64.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.81% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.86% |