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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 34.99%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (13.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Sutton United |
| 34.99% | 30.46% | 34.55% |
| Both teams to score 40.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.48% | 66.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.06% | 84.94% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.14% | 35.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% | 72.64% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% | 36.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% | 72.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.02% Total : 34.99% | 1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 12.97% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.45% | 0-1 @ 13.19% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.97% Total : 34.55% |