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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Bradford City |
| 35.08% | 28.9% | 36.02% |
| Both teams to score 45.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.53% | 61.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.65% | 81.34% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% | 33.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% | 69.7% |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% | 32.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% | 69.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.07% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.02% |