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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 29.66% | 27.58% | 42.75% |
| Both teams to score 47.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.13% | 57.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.41% | 78.58% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% | 35.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% | 71.8% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% | 26.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.93% | 62.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 5.16% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.12% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 12.36% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.75% |