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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 40.41% | 28.74% | 30.84% |
| Both teams to score 44.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.48% | 61.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.62% | 81.37% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% | 29.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% | 65.9% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% | 36.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.46% Total : 40.41% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.95% Total : 30.84% |