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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 37.99% | 26.97% | 35.04% |
| Both teams to score 50.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.68% | 54.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% | 75.71% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% | 27.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% | 63.31% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% | 29.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% | 65.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.04% |