EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2021 at 7pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
1 - 3
Swindon

Agard (24')
Tomlinson (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gillesphey (20' og.), Mitchell-Lawson (74'), McKirdy (84')
Baudry (29')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Plymouth Argyle and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Swindon Town
41.96%	24.76%	33.28%

Both teams to score 57.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.85%

45.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.5%

67.5%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45%

21.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.38%

54.62%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84%

26.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77%

61.23%

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 41.96%

Swindon Town 33.28%

Draw 24.76%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 8.9% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.96%	1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 7.78% 0-1 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Swindon

Plymouth Argyle

50.0%

Draw

50.0%

Swindon Town

0.0%

Plymouth1 - 3Swindon

Data Analysis

How you voted: Plymouth vs Swindon

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Plymouth
1 - 3
Swindon