Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
